THE International Longshore Association (ILA) is adamant that if no deal is reached on a labour agreement between the US East Coast port workers and the terminals organization, they will initiate a strike from October 1, one day after the current labour agreement expires on September 30, 2024.
Sea-Intelligence has assessed the probable impact of real container quantities if the International Longshore Association's (ILA) strike occurs, reports London's Port Technology International.
Using historical data, Sea-intelligence expects that the US East Coast will handle 2.3 million TEU in October, which translates to 74,000 TEU per day, with 36,000 in imports and 38,000 in exports.
A strike would block the loading of 20,000 TEU every day.
Once a potential strike has passed, container buildup must be managed in addition to normal flow. The capacity necessary to remove this backlog equals the extra capacity available in the East Coast port systems.
One method for estimating surplus capacity is to compare the largest number of containers ever handled on the East Coast to the predicted handling in October 2024.
Sea-Intelligence predicted that in October, the port system will be able to expand port handling by 13 per cent over the planned 2.3 million TEU.
'As we estimate the East Coast ports to have 13 per cent excess capacity over the expected normal flow of 2.3 million TEU in October, then it would take 6 days to clear the backlog from 1 day of strike,' said Alan Murphy, CEO, Sea-Intelligence.
But, If the ports had additional spare capacity, this figure might be decreased to 4-5 days, Mr Murphy added.
'If the ports have just a little more excess capacity available, this would more realistically bring this figure down to 4-5 days. However, this means that a 1-week strike in the beginning of October, would not be cleared until mid-November. If we get a 2-week strike, then realistically, the ports would not be back to normal operations until we are into 2025.'
SeaNews Turkey
Sea-Intelligence has assessed the probable impact of real container quantities if the International Longshore Association's (ILA) strike occurs, reports London's Port Technology International.
Using historical data, Sea-intelligence expects that the US East Coast will handle 2.3 million TEU in October, which translates to 74,000 TEU per day, with 36,000 in imports and 38,000 in exports.
A strike would block the loading of 20,000 TEU every day.
Once a potential strike has passed, container buildup must be managed in addition to normal flow. The capacity necessary to remove this backlog equals the extra capacity available in the East Coast port systems.
One method for estimating surplus capacity is to compare the largest number of containers ever handled on the East Coast to the predicted handling in October 2024.
Sea-Intelligence predicted that in October, the port system will be able to expand port handling by 13 per cent over the planned 2.3 million TEU.
'As we estimate the East Coast ports to have 13 per cent excess capacity over the expected normal flow of 2.3 million TEU in October, then it would take 6 days to clear the backlog from 1 day of strike,' said Alan Murphy, CEO, Sea-Intelligence.
But, If the ports had additional spare capacity, this figure might be decreased to 4-5 days, Mr Murphy added.
'If the ports have just a little more excess capacity available, this would more realistically bring this figure down to 4-5 days. However, this means that a 1-week strike in the beginning of October, would not be cleared until mid-November. If we get a 2-week strike, then realistically, the ports would not be back to normal operations until we are into 2025.'
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